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FPG AUDUSD Market Report May 13, 2025

AUDUSD is currently around 0.63617 (blue line), and price action is showing renewed weakness after a failed attempt to maintain its bullish momentum. Price has broken below the Tenkan-sen and is now testing the Kijun-sen, suggesting potential downside continuation. The recent red candles confirm seller pressure, and the current close is near a key horizontal support.

The Ichimoku Cloud indicates a mixed outlook. Price has fallen below the Tenkan-sen (conversion line), and the Kumo (cloud) ahead is bearish with a flat-bottom structure, typically acting as a magnet for price. The Chikou Span (lagging line) is approaching the candles, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. The most recent candle has closed at the support level of 0.63617, which is a critical zone.

The Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) is pointing sharply downward and currently stands at 15.75, indicating that the pair is entering oversold territory. However, no bullish crossover is seen yet, meaning momentum remains with the sellers.

Market Observation & Strategy Advice:
1. Current Price: 0.63617, testing key horizontal support, also aligning with the Kijun-sen.
2. Key Resistance Levels: 0.64921 – A recent swing high and upper resistance from April consolidation.
3. Key Support Levels: 0.62414 – A lower Ichimoku flat zone and consolidation base. 0.59530 – Multi-month low, long-term support.
4. Momentum & Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish Kumo ahead; Chikou Span nearing price – confirms growing bearish bias. Stochastic: Falling below 20; no crossover yet – bearish momentum intact.
5. Strategy Advice:

  • Monitor Support at 0.63617: A daily close below this level could trigger further downside toward 0.62414.
  • Watch for Bullish Divergence: If price consolidates and Stochastic turns up, it could signal a bounce.
  • Short-term Bias: Bearish while price remains under Tenkan-sen and below Kumo.
  • Risk Management Key: Place stops above 0.64100 for short positions; avoid over-leveraging near key support.
  • Look for Confirmation: Bears need a clean break with volume under 0.63600 to validate momentum.

Market Performance:
Forex       Last Price % Change
EUR/USD         1.1088          +0.06%
GBP/USD        1.3171            -0.01%

Today’s Key Economic Calendar:
AU: Westpac Consumer Confidence Change
AU: NAB Business Confidence
UK: Unemployment Rate
DE: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

Risk Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investments involve risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please consult your financial advisor for personalized investment advice.

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