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FPG BTCUSD Market Report May 1, 2025

BTCUSD is currently consolidating below a major resistance level at 94981.29 after a strong rally in late April. Price is holding around 94122.73, showing signs of momentum exhaustion with potential for a short-term pullback or sideways correction.

Price remains above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a broader bullish structure, but the future Kumo appears thin and flat, suggesting weakening trend strength. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are still bullishly aligned, though they are narrowing, which often precedes a stall or minor correction.

Stochastic (5,3,3) is turning downward from a reading of 68.71, signaling potential short-term selling pressure. Volume has decreased in recent sessions, supporting the idea that upward momentum is fading near resistance.

Market Observation & Strategy Advice
1. Resistance Level:94981.29 – A key resistance level that has been tested multiple times. A confirmed breakout with strong volume would be bullish.
2. Current Price Zone: 94122.73 – Currently just below resistance, with signs of stalling.
3. Support Zone: The flat cloud base and Kijun-sen around 89,000–90,000 serve as key support in case of a pullback.
4. Momentum Observation: Stochastic Oscillator is dropping from near-overbought levels, signaling loss of momentum. Price action remains above the cloud but is approaching a technical ceiling.
5. Strategy Advice:

  • Bullish Breakout Strategy: Wait for a clean daily close above 94981.29 with increasing volume before entering new long positions.
  • Short-term Reversal Play: Look for bearish rejection candles near the resistance area to consider short positions toward the 90,000 zone.
  • Avoid fresh longs if the price falls below Tenkan-sen (~92,000) without strong bounce confirmation.
  • Monitor the Ichimoku Cloud: a thin future Kumo suggests weaker trend continuation and potential for sideways action.

Market Performance:
Crypto      Last Price.   % Change
ETHUSD        1,792.7         −0.07%
XRPUSD       2.19491         +0.18%

Today’s Key Economic Calendar:
AU: Balance of Trade
JP: BoJ Interest Rate Decision
US: ISM Manufacturing PMI

Risk Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investments involve risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please consult your financial advisor for personalized investment advice.

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