FPG USTEC Market Report June 11, 2025

USTEC traded around 21,879.49 today, maintaining its bullish structure and continuing the rally that began in early April. The price is approaching a critical resistance level, raising the potential for either a breakout or a short-term correction as buying momentum slows.

Price is near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating it is in a strong uptrend but also nearing overextension. The bullish price action is supported by the rising middle band (20-day SMA), which has acted as dynamic support throughout the rally. Volume remains steady, although not showing signs of a breakout surge yet.

The Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) is deep in overbought territory at 84.30 and 76.97. This suggests that bullish momentum may be slowing, and the market could be vulnerable to a minor pullback unless buyers break through the 22,132.13 resistance level decisively.

Market Observation & Strategy Advice:
1. Resistance Levels: Key resistance is seen at 22,132.13, where previous highs were rejected.
2. Support Zones: Strong support lies at 20,861.57 and further below at 19,849.70, both aligned with former breakout and consolidation levels.
3. Stochastic Signal: Overbought zone implies a potential bearish crossover and short-term pullback risk.
4. Bollinger Band Behavior: Price hugging the upper band suggests a continuation trend, but be cautious of volatility spikes or fake outs.
5. Trading Strategy Suggestions:

  • Breakout Entry: Buy only if price closes firmly above 22,132.13 with high volume confirmation.
  • Sell on Rejection: Watch for bearish candlestick signals near resistance to short with target at 20,861.57.
  • Trailing Long: If already long, consider trailing stop just below 21,300 to secure profits in case of reversal.

Market Performance:
Index            Last Price       % Change
S&P 500        6,038.81           +0.55%
Dow Jones   42,866.87        +0.25%

Today’s Key Economic Calendar:
US: Core Inflation Rate MoM & YoY
US: Inflation Rate MoM & YoY

Risk Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investments involve risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please consult your financial advisor for personalized investment advice.

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