XAUUSD (Gold) maintains its strong bullish momentum, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3245.43 before closing slightly lower at 3238.14. Despite signs of rejection from the top, the overall trend remains bullish with market sentiment still highly positive.
Price action has significantly breached the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an extreme overbought condition and a potential short-term pullback. The latest weekly candle shows a rejection from the highs, though not enough to invalidate the current uptrend. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is at 92.79, confirming very strong buying pressure, but also warning of potential exhaustion.
Price is trading well above both the 20 and 50-period exponential moving averages, highlighting a strong bullish trend, though the widening gap suggests overextension. Volume has increased notably, supporting the recent breakout, but any decline in volume in upcoming weeks could hint at weakening momentum.
Market Observation & Strategy Advice:
1. Resistance Level: 3245.43 – The all-time high and current upper resistance barrier.
2. Current Position: 3238.14 – Still holding near the top of the breakout range.
3. Support Levels:
Minor Support: 3087.88 – A close below this level could lead to further correction.
Major Support: 2855.59 – A critical structural support zone for the ongoing uptrend.
4. Momentum: MFI > 90 reflects extreme overbought conditions; high probability of a pullback within 1–2 weeks.
5. Trading Strategy:
Medium-term bullish bias remains intact above 3087.88.
Look for pullback entries in the 3087–3050 range.
Avoid aggressive long positions at current levels, wait for healthy retracement.
Conservative stop-loss for swing positions should be placed below 2855.59.
Market Performance:
Precious Metals Last Price % Change
XPTUSD 937.16 +0.64%
XAGUSD 31.89. −1.27%
Today’s Key Economic Calendar:
CN: Balance of Trade
CN: Export YoY & Import YoY
US: FED Barkin Speech
Risk Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investments involve risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please consult your financial advisor for personalized investment advice.
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