Gold (XAUUSD) maintains its strong bullish trend on the weekly timeframe, currently positioned around 3037.87 after reaching a weekly high. Price action remains confined within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by continued bullish momentum. However, the appearance of a rejection wick at the top suggests that bullish strength may be pausing near the upper boundary.

The chart shows a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, consistent with a well-supported uptrend. Price is currently testing a key zone just below resistance at 3087.88, having pulled back slightly to 3037.87. The uptrend remains intact as long as price holds above both the dynamic support of the channel and the horizontal level of 2855.59.

The Money Flow Index (MFI 14) has surged to 92.27, placing the market firmly in overbought territory. This raises the probability of a short-term pullback or consolidation phase before any further breakout. The recent candle’s upper wick and slight body suggest some selling pressure as the price approached resistance, making 3037.87 a critical price level to watch.

Market Observation & Strategy Advice:
1. Key Resistance Level: 3087.88 — this recent swing high represents a strong resistance zone; a confirmed breakout above this could open the path toward new all-time highs.
2. Key Support Levels:

• Immediate: 3037.87 (current price and near-term support)
• Secondary: 2855.59 (major horizontal support and the lower boundary of the ascending channel)

3. Momentum Condition: MFI(14) at 92.27 suggests extremely overbought conditions; potential for near-term correction or sideways movement is high.
   4. Trend Structure: Price remains inside a bullish ascending channel; the trend is intact unless price breaks and closes below 2855.59 on a weekly basis.
   5. Strategy Advice:

• Short-Term Traders: Be cautious of entering new long positions at current levels due to overbought MFI. Look for a retracement to the lower trendline or 2855.59 zone for better risk-reward.
• Swing Traders: Watch for consolidation above 3037.87; bullish setups forming here with supportive candles could offer continuation trade opportunities.
• Bearish Bias Trigger: A weekly close below 2855.59 may invalidate the bullish structure and open downside potential toward 2700s.

Market Performance:
Precious Metals  Last Price % Change
XPTUSD                        900.75.           -1.73%
XAGUSD                       28.46.             -3.70%

Today’s Key Economic Calendar:
DE: Balance of Trade
UK: Halifax House Price Index MoM & YoY
EU: Retail Sales MoM